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Putin is a Mad Man

2/28/2022

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​Chicago- The belief that Vladimir Putin was bluffing, that he would never give the order for the nearly 200,000-man army he had spent months amassing on the borders of Ukraine to invade, persisted as late as 5:45am Moscow time the day of the attack, when, grimacing in a red tie, Russia’s ruler of almost 23 years announced in a pre-recorded statement what he called “a special military operation.”
 
This was not just a shock on American political Twitter. It was a shock to many of the leading experts and policymakers in the United States, Europe, and even in Ukraine. The head of German intelligence was so caught off guard that he was still in Kyiv and had to be evacuated.
But nowhere did the shock feel more profound than amongst foreign policy analysts in Russia, where overwhelming consensus, until that very moment, had been that Putin would never launch such a war.
Even someone as experienced as Sir John Sawers, the former head of the British intelligence agency MI6 — the role codename C in the James Bond universe — told me just a week before the invasion began: “The idea that Putin was actually going to invade the whole of Ukraine, topple the Kyiv government and occupy the whole country, for years to come. I never thought that was a realistic prospect.”
Amongst even the leaders who had spent weeks warning a major offensive was imminent, a tone of surprise was not too hard to detect in their statements. “I cannot believe this is being done in your name,” said British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, trying to address for a moment, the Russian people, “or that you really want the pariah status it will bring to the Putin regime.”
However, that phrase — “the Putin regime” — which has been stuck to all discussions of Russian politics now for almost twenty years, in some ways itself helps explain why so many people who believed they understood the country turned out to be so wrong about the Ukraine conflict. It has become clear that what exists inside the Kremlin is no longer a “regime” at all—a system of government where multiple figures can impact and feed-into decision making, from security chiefs to billionaires—as many believed.
Instead, it has transformed into what political scientists call a personalist dictatorship, where the whims of one man, and one man only, determine policy, a fact that has terrifying implications for Russia and the world.
Americans tend to see the world in much the same way as President Joe Biden frames it in his speeches, divided neatly between “democracies” and “autocracies.” But the reality is that authoritarian states exist on a political spectrum depending on how much power is exercised by a single individual—and where states land on this spectrum has a big impact on matters of war and peace. At one end, you have civilian-run regimes, like Hu Jintao’s China or Leonid Brezhnev’s Soviet Union, where political power is checked and shared within a ruling party. At the other, you have personalist dictatorships like that of, say, Saddam Hussein, where rivals are purged, loyalists are rewarded, cults of personality flourish, and all authority runs through the glorious leader.
The political science literature suggests that personalist dictatorships are more erratic and dangerous to the outside world than other sorts of autocracies.
Researchers have found they are more likely to start wars, for instance (institutionalized civilian-run regimes are about as apt to use force as democracies), and also tend to perform worse militarily (not surprising, since their leaders are often surrounded by yes men). But while civilian-run regimes might be less apt to launch destructive, hare-brained conflicts in the short term, in the long-term they can still be ticking time bombs.
That’s because as they age, their intricate power structures often devolve, and allow dictators to consolidate personal control. In a forthcoming paper, Andrew Leber and Matthew Reichar of Harvard University and Christopher Carothers of the University of Pennsylvania theorize that this tends to happen when there’s no influential old guard of political elites who can stop them. All of which pretty much sums up what has happened in Russia over the last two decades.
While the world’s news readers may long have thought of Vladimir Putin as a dictator, most Russia analysts and policymakers saw the Kremlin differently. And for most of Putin’s nearly twenty three year journey in power they were right to do so. What existed was a complicated regime beyond one man where lots of people exerted influence and could check Putin’s impulses.
Putin began his rule as Boris Yeltsin’s chosen successor in 1999. Then, he was a kind of semi-democratic populist strongman—closer to Turkey’s Tayyip Erdogan than the Putin of today. He turned toward full-on authoritarianism with the rigged 2004 Russian elections. But his government still looked to the US Embassy like a regime in which billionaires and security chiefs influenced grand strategy when he installed Dmitry Medvedev as puppet President from 2008 to 2012 and toyed with retirement.
Mass protests against the government may have changed Putin’s thinking, and he began to tighten his grip on power after returning to the presidency in 2012. As Leber and his co-authors note, by then, nobody in Russia was in a position to challenge him. But, even as late as 2014, when Putin decided to annex Crimea, the move was taken after a night of intense discussion with his inner circle in the Kremlin—after commissioning secret polls on public opinion. There was still some semblance of a regime, albeit one in which Putin tightly controlled its reins.
This brings us to today. A key reason that many wise foreign policy hands thought Russia was bluffing about an invasion was that they assumed Putin wasn’t making his decisions alone. This assumption informed much of Western strategy. Experts believed that threatening Russian oligarchs with sanctions, for instance, would encourage Putin’s inner circle to push back against war. Offering accommodation—for example, changes to the Ukrainian constitution, autonomy for the Donbass under the Minsk Agreement, or a twenty year long moratorium on NATO expansion—would satisfy the regime’s rational actors, the thinkinging went, even if Putin himself had grander visions of territorial conquest. Threats of economic sanctions were supposed to raise the oligarchs’ concerns about public backlash.The prospect of high casualties, of what was already certain to be a very unpopular war, convinced many that a regime concerned somewhat with public opinion would undertake it.
But the world is now realizing that the Putin regime is really just Vladimir Putin. And he is apparently no longer worried about what war will mean for Russia’s rich, much less its masses.
This was made brutally clear to all in the astonishing session of the Russian security council a week ago. In the echoing and ornate hall of Saint Catherine in the Kremlin, a former imperial throne room where the annexation of Crimea was announced in 2014, Putin gathered his most senior lieutenants to “consult them” on whether to recognize the independence of the so-called Luhansk and Donetsk People’s Republics.
Not only did many of them look visibly uncomfortable, the head of Russian foreign intelligence Sergey Naryshkin looked actually scared — to the point where he forgot whether he was being asked whether or not to welcome the republics into Russia itself or merely if they should be recognized as independent.
The same shift was more subtly visible in St. Catherine’s Hall after the fighting began.
Putin summoned the country’s leading businessmen to what the Western press described as an “oligarchs meeting.” However, as astutely noted by the Financial Times Moscow bureau chief Max Seddon, few of those present were what we actually think of as oligarchs: billionaires of independent wealth, power, and influence, the type who dominated Russian back in the 1990s.
Instead, those at the “oligarchs meeting” were by and large state company directors with an intelligence background or Putin cronies elevated to great wealth—men who owe their positions to Putin, not the other way around, men who act as placeholders and frontmen for him in the commanding heights of the economy. The best way to understand their political position is through a joke common in Moscow: “They are not oligarchs, they just work as oligarchs.”
At this point, analysis of what Russia might do next largely consists of guessing the state of Putin’s mind. (As The New York Times’ Tom Friedman put it, “The only place to be for understanding this war is inside Russian President Vladimir Putin’s head.)
The press is chock full of speculation about his sanity; now that he’s ordered Russia’s nuclear forces on high alert, we’ve all been forced to contemplate the possibility that this conflict could somehow spiral into atomic death and destruction. Certainly, it’s unclear who could stop Putin from irrational action.
But how did so many miss that Putin and his rule had changed? Part of the answer is that Putin has been in power so long that much analysis simply got frozen in the past. Impressions about a Russia dominated by “oligarchs” froze into legend and did not keep up with their effective liquidation as a class. (It didn’t help that Westerns know plenty of Russian billionaires from the Davos circuit, but don’t know the security officials who’ve increasingly embraced the sort of religious nationalism that seems to have gripped Putin.)
The pandemic also made it difficult for outsiders to notice Putin’s apparent descent into paranoid isolation; he has apparently cloistered himself for the past few years through ultra-strict personal lockdowns and social distancing measures that may have affected his judgment. The absurdly long tables Putin has sat at for meetings have become a symbol of his remoteness (and a pretty good meme). French President Emmanuel Macron reportedly found him a completely “different person” in early February from the man he last met in 2019.
And finally Western Russia analysis failed because it depends on Russian analysis of its own society and that failed even more catastrophically. There, an expert class inured by decades of propaganda underestimated the effect that the systematic dismantling of Russian journalism has had on their ability to know what goes on inside the Kremlin. This, mixed with denial; it was simply too terrifying to contemplate the fact Russians were living under dictatorship where all the guard rails had fallen off. Though Americans may think of Russia as a society used to tyrants, this is subtly missing the point. The post-Stalin Soviet Union was a collectively ruled, civilian-led authoritarian regime, not one-man rule. Stalin died when Putin was less than five months old, meaning the ability to spot the warning signs of personalist dictatorship are almost as distant to Russians as Hitler is to the Germans.
What can we expect next in this new phase of Putinism? Unfortunately, the political science literature makes grim reading for Russians. As studies would predict, the invasion of Ukraine is going quite poorly. But only 12.5 percent of personalist leaders lost power within two years after losing a war, according to a 2009 data-set. Research by Desha Girod, Megan Stewart and Meir Walter at Georgetown suggest that oil rich- autocrats are better positioned to repress dissent at home while resisting international pressure. Research also comprehensively shows that leaders like Putin tend to be removed only by death or a coup. The more intense the personalisation of a government, the harder it is to execute a coup–but it is harder still to imagine a peaceful transition of power in Russia.
There is a ray of hope, however. Of the world’s wealthier authoritarian states, Russia is arguably the only one to briefly have had something of a democracy and a free society in its modern history (the debate depends on whether you still count Turkey as a Democracy.) All the others— the Gulf petro-monarchies, China, Singapore of Kazakhstan—have never experienced a break in authoritarian rule. That may make some of Russia’s elites and regular citizens more likely to push back rather than accept a deeper descent into autocracy. Putin’s war is already imposing a new repressive order on society while sanctions are isolating it from the world economy. In both cases this means taking Russians backwards, towards something more like the USSR than the last few years—a considerably more difficult task than other personalist dictators have attempted. Much as the invasion of Ukraine is proving harder than Putin seems to have expected, so too might pulling off that degree of oppression. Ben Judah

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PUTIN IS ON THE ROPES - UKRANIANS PREDICTED TO WIN THE WAR IN 48 HOURS

2/28/2022

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Chicago-The Ruble today has fallen to 1 penny. Russia has been now squeezed out of the global economy. There is a rumor coming out of Russia that the OIligarchs who havelost billions of dollars since the war began have hatched a scheme to get rid of  Putin.
However    All attempts to contact Putin have failed  The Kremlin official said, “ We do not comment on rumors. Putin has locked himself in a unknown location, he is armed with a AK 47 and will kill anyone who tries to assassin him.. He gives all his food first to his dog before he eats it and is talking to no one. Putin is a black belt in judo and is not afraid of anyone he is in a room with the nuclear button hand cuffed to his wrist. The last thing that Putin said was, "Why does Russia need the world if the the Russian economy is destroyed!" 
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President Vladmir Putin and Xi Jimping met to take over the World

2/24/2022

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​Chicago- As  Russia pushes into Ukraine, killing women and childdren, President Biden doesn’t know what to do.?
 Russian President Vladimir Putin’s attack handed Chinese leader Xi Jinping a golden opportunity — a chance to pursue the common goal of the two U.S. rivals to  destroy  Washington and its alliances and to take over Taiwan .
Putin continues to use military force to re-create his dream of restoring the boundaries of the former Soviet Union, China’s dual goals of  destroying  the West and benefiting its economy may be easy  to maintain.
China is  enabling Putin’s destabilizing behavior and personal ambitions to restore Russia’s glory in order to distract the world and seize Taiwan. .
Russia and China  have become  formal allies, their strengthening partnership has raised concerns in Washington and other capitals about how well Western powers could combat challenges in a two-front cold war, when Xi Jimping and Valdimir Putin unite to take over the world..
Just as China has done with North Korea, China is expected to help Putin soften the blow of Western sanctions by providing backdoor channels to facilitate Russian finance and trade, and  buying more oil and gas from Russia..
Experts argue that China’s tacit support has emboldened Putin in his latest military action. With China’s backing, Russia can direct its military power toward Ukraine, Poland and the Baltics  without worrying about disputes along its China borders.
“The Chinese can provide almost everything the Russians need, and Russia in return provides China with more and more energy,” said Yu. “But the most important thing is this diplomatic support.”
 “One possible outcome of the events [involving Ukraine] is a sharper division of the world into autocracies and democracies. And I think that’s a world that China does benefit from,” said Bonnie Glaser, director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States.
After Putin's meeting with Xi during the opening ceremony of the Olympics in Beijing, where they hatched their plain to take over the world
Mean while the Texas senator stated that the 80, 000,000  unfit Americans that voted for the mentally incompetent Joe Biden , which under the original constitution of the US would never have been allowed to vote, have blood on their hands for voting for an incompetent man, Joe Biden who allowed the Afghan People and now the Ukraine people to  cut down like flies
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Putin is no mad man Biden is

2/23/2022

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​IBy the time Biden imposes sanction on Putin it will be too late.

​I f you walk the streets of Moscow, you will eventually smell the faint odor of gasoline.

 I am a former Moscow correspondent. Don’t let Vladimir Putin fool you: Russia’s war in Ukraine is only about one thing.
It’s as ever-present in the air around Russia’s capital as it is central to the country’s economy, infrastructure and geopolitical posture.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has spelled out a nationalist rationale for his country’s military incursion into two restive provinces in eastern Ukraine largely controlled by Kremlin-backed separatists, but it is primarily about protecting Moscow’s energy interests. 
That was true in 2014, when Russia seized Crimea and I was a Moscow correspondent for the Wall Street Journal, for which I wrote dozens of stories about the insurgency in Donetsk and Luhansk that Russia helped foment. And it remains true now.
See: Putin calls for international recognition of Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimean Peninsula in Ukraine
From the archives (March 2021): G-7 rebukes Russia over annexation of Crimea
To understand the Kremlin’s motivations in regard to its smaller, and relatively impoverished, neighbor, the key fact to know is that Russia supplies 40% of Europe’s heating-fuel supplies — namely, natural gas.
Any crimp on Russia’s ability to access the European market is a threat to its economic security.
To get it there, Russia relies mostly on two aging pipeline networks, one of which runs through Belarus and the other through Ukraine. For this, Russia pays Ukraine around $2 billion a year in transit fees.
Russia is a petrostate and relies on oil and natural-gas sales for about 60% of its export revenue and 40% of its total budget expenditures. Any crimp on Russia’s ability to access the European market is a threat to its economic security.
See: Chancellor Olaf Scholz suspends German certification of Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia
In the Kremlin’s view, a switch of allegiance by Kiev, or Kyiv by Ukrainian preference, to the West — be it an economic association agreement with the European Union like Ukraine was on the verge of signing in 2014, or even the hint of joining NATO — is close to an act of war.
In my three years covering Russia, I watched as the country slowly withdrew into itself after Putin returned to office for what was then his third term as president.
MarketWatch First Take (March 2012): Oil elixir losing its magic for Russia’s Putin
Gone were prior efforts to intertwine Russia’s economy and the global system and encourage foreign investment. As towering skyscrapers rose in Moscow atop a pile of oil cash, Putin’s government became more backward-looking and more isolated.
In Ukraine, meanwhile, many were growing increasingly ill at ease with the impoverished state of their country.
In Ukraine, meanwhile, many were growing increasingly ill at ease with the impoverished state of their country and highly corrupt political system as it languished, locked in a kind of Soviet-era limbo under Russian domination.
As Ukrainians looked to rising living standards in places like Poland and Latvia that had joined NATO and the European Union, many wondered why they couldn’t have the same for themselves.
This is where Putin’s nationalistic impulses kick in. He views the fall of the Soviet Union as the “greatest geopolitical tragedy” of the past century and the rush of  former Eastern bloc countries into the embrace of the European Union, and even NATO, as a great humiliation.
He has drawn a line in the sand with countries that border Russia, invading Georgia in 2008 when it hinted at joining NATO, and moving to destabilize Ukraine when it moved to establish closer economic ties with Europe.
Domestically, Putin has sold the incursions into Ukraine on purely nationalistic grounds — even going so far this weekend as to dismiss Ukraine’s history as an independent country as a falsehood.
See: Biden targets Russian banks, sovereign debt in ‘first tranche’ of sanctions over Ukraine invasion
While Ukrainians and Russians share religions and ethnicities, they speak different, albeit similar, languages, even as there are pockets of native Russian speakers in some Ukrainian regions, as there are in other former Soviet republics. And while Russians have seen their quality of life improve awash in petro-rubles in the decades under Putin’s rule, Ukrainians have been mired in poverty and bogged down by misrule.
While it is no wonder many Ukrainians yearn to be unmoored from their bigger, imperialist neighbor, for Putin and his cohort of oligarchs Ukrainian self-determination is not really on the table.
 

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Biden is the worst President since Jimmy Carter

2/22/2022

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​CHICAGO-(EJP) Predicted that Biden was an absolute piece of human garbage that unqualified to clean the White House let alone be President of the United States long before he was elected president.​
Everything that Biden has done since he was elected by voters who were not even considered to be voters by the framers of the U.S. Constitution when it was written om 1776, has been a compete disaster. 
Biden talks nonsense to Putin.
Putin is taking over the Ukraine and Biden talks " diplomacy".
Did Biden's diplomacy work in 2014 when Putin stole the Crimea?
Putin is a dictator the only think a dictator under stands is the barrel of a gun.

When historians gathered at the White House shortly after President Biden's inauguration, they discussed what makes a presidency consequential. Biden reportedly told one historian in attendance, "I'm no FDR, but..." On this, Biden is right: He is no Franklin Delano Roosevelt, nor is he any of the other presidents to whom he has delusional hopes of being compared to, such as Lyndon Johnson or Abraham Lincoln. After just one year of complete Democrat rule, there is no denying that the average American is far worse off under the Biden administration. Biden's desire for a consequential presidency has meant disastrous consequences for American families. The economic harm from his policies has been particularly devastating. For too many American families, rising costs for gas and groceries have shrunk household budgets. Consumer prices reached a 40-year high in January, while workers' wages failed to keep up. A University of Pennsylvania Wharton School analysis found Americans paid $3,500 more in 2021 as a result of runaway inflation, and currently, Americans are shelling out an estimated additional $276 per month for basic goods and services. Skyrocketing inflation hurts the middle and working classes the most, as they are least able to withstand rising prices. Those are the uninformed, uneducated people who were not included in the original Constitution and who put Biden in office.
The problem is not Biden, its the uninformed, unqualified, voters who supported Biden, who could put such a stupid man in office.

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Putin the 21st Century Hitler, Girlfriend says, "Putin is a nice guy."

2/22/2022

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​MOSCOW, Feb 22 (Reuters) - President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that Russia respected the sovereignty of other ex-Soviet republics and that Moscow had made an exception with Ukraine because he said it was under foreign control, therefore he must attack the Ukraine, Poland is next and the Baltic Countries.
​Putin wants to restore the Soviet Union  
NATO is now preparing to go to war against Russia,  in the event that Russia attacks the  Ukraine  the TASS news agency reported. England have their bombers' fueled and ready to go..
Even the Swiss ambassador said, "Switzerland missed out on the action in World War ll, but does not want to miss out on the action in World War iii.

In a related story, when interviewed, Putin's  girlfriend Anastasia
 says, "Putin Baby is a nice guy, he ain't no Hitler, he gives me what every I want  

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GENERAL COUNSEL FOR THE ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF HUMAND SERVICES  JOHN F. SCHOMBERT CHARGED IN AN ILLINOIS ATTORNEY DISBARMENT COMPLAINT FOR LYING TO THIRD PARTIES TO REDUCE THE HOURS OF CARE FOR A DISABLED PERSON

2/10/2022

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​CHICAGO (EJ)  The Americans for the Enforcement of Attorney Ethics (AEAE) which advocates the strict enforcement of Attorney Ethics since 1974, a member has filed a Attorney Disbarment Complaint Against the General Counsel of the Illinois Department of Human Services, John F. Schomberg, who is charged with lying to third parties in an attempt to have the home care hours of a disabled person, unlawfully reduced. See attached complaint below.
The Illinois Attorney Registration and Discipline Commission has since 1973, investigated complaints alleging illegal, unethical and dishonest conduct by lawyers, like the General Counsel of the Illinois Department of Human Services, John F. Schomberg. See a copy of the Attorney Disbarment Complaint attached here to.
 
If anyone has any information of John F. Schomberg that they would like to share with AEAE please email Ldms4@hotmail.com


LEGAL DISCLOSURE: The charges against John F. Schomberg are allegations and John F. Schomberg is considered innocent until found guilty by a court of law.
corrected_attorney_john_schomberg_attorney_disbarment_complaint.pdf
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    EQUAL JUSTICE PARTY (EJP)

    supports moral and ethical causes. Strongly advocates Equal Justice for all.
    The purpose of the Equal Justice Party is to exalt the law, by holding to the fundamental right of “Equal Justice” for all. It keeps “watch” on unethical attorneys, judges, judicial misconduct issues, unfit government officials,   unfit professionals, professors, doctors. EJP studies, evolving intellectual property   and constitutional law. It assures all people with the “good news” that in American “right” will prevail, especially for those who “never” give-up “fighting” to obtain “justice”. The Equal Justice Party advocates adherence to the Law, relies on the Constitution  and the Bill of Rights as its authority.

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